https://rethinkpriorities.org/research-area/uncertainty-over-time-and-bayesian-updating/
Jan 12, 2025 - This is the seventh post in the Worldview Investigations Team’s sequence of posts—Causes and uncertainty: Rethinking value in expectation (CURVE).
over timebayesian updatinguncertaintyrethinkpriorities
https://deepai.org/publication/price-updating-in-combinatorial-prediction-markets-with-bayesian-networks
02/14/12 - To overcome the #P-hardness of computing/updating prices in logarithm market scoring rule-based (LMSR-based) combinatorial predict...
prediction marketsbayesian networkspriceupdatingcombinatorial