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https://federicocarrone.com/series/leptokurtic/detecting-crashes-with-fat-tail-statistics/ Detecting Crashes with Fat-Tail Statistics | Federico Carrone We built fatcrash, a Rust+Python toolkit with 15 crash detection methods: LPPLS, DFA, EVT, Hill, Kappa, Hurst, GSADF, momentum/reversal, price velocity, and... federico carrone detecting crashes fat tail https://federicocarrone.com/series/ethereum/the-missing-institution-of-the-internet/ The missing institution of the Internet | Federico Carrone The internet scaled information but not ownership institutions; Ethereum addresses this gap by embedding rights, records, and enforcement into programmable... the missing federico carrone institution internet https://federicocarrone.com/series/leptokurtic/twenty-centuries-of-financial-data/ Twenty Centuries of Financial Data: What 240 Countries and 2,000 Years Reveal | Federico Carrone We assembled forex-centuries, an open dataset of exchange rates, gold, silver, interest rates, commodity prices, GDP, sovereign debt, and more — 27 sources... financial data federico carrone twenty centuries countries https://federicocarrone.com/articles/health-guide/ Fede's Guide to a Healthier Life | Federico Carrone An ordered, evidence-based health guide for nerds who used to think the body didn't matter. guide to healthier life federico carrone https://federicocarrone.com/articles/transforming-the-future-with-zero-knowledge-proofs-fully-homomorphic-encryption-and-new-distributed-systems-algorithms/ Zero-Knowledge Proofs and the Economics of Verification | Federico Carrone The proving-verification asymmetry in zero-knowledge proofs is what makes them economically meaningful: proving is expensive, verification is cheap, and that... zero knowledge proofs and the federico carrone economics verification https://federicocarrone.com/articles/crypto-doctrine/ Crypto doctrine | Federico Carrone Crypto found product-market fit where trust is weakest: inflationary or censored economies, and internet-native communities that need programmable coordination... crypto doctrine federico carrone https://federicocarrone.com/series/leptokurtic/at-the-core-of-finance-lies-geometry-in-the-end-its-all-jensens-inequality/ At the Core of Finance Lies Geometry. In the End, It’s All Jensen’s Inequality. | Federico Carrone A 400-year journey through logarithms, Kelly, ergodicity, and tail risk to show why geometry sits at the core of finance and why Jensen's inequality ties the... at the core federico carrone https://federicocarrone.com/series/leptokurtic/the-tail-hedge-debate-spitznagel-is-right/ The Tail Hedge Debate: Spitznagel Is Right, AQR Is Answering the Wrong Question | Federico Carrone We tested Spitznagel's tail hedging strategy and AQR's critique with 17 years of real SPY options data. AQR's published tests use near-ATM puts in a... https://federicocarrone.com/series/concrete/rusts-grand-vision-and-concretes-answer/ The Rust Effects Debate and Concrete's Case for a Smaller Language | Federico Carrone Wuyts is right about effects and ownership. The Hacker News skeptics are right about complexity. Concrete accepts both and says no to refinement types. https://federicocarrone.com/articles/type-systems/ Fede's Guide to Type Systems: From Generics to Dependent Types | Federico Carrone A practical guide through the landscape of type systems, from everyday generics to dependent types that prove correctness, with examples in Rust, Scala, and... guide to type systems