Robuta

Jun 19, 2020 - Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll(s) of the week “Defund the police.” In the last several weeks, this slogan has entered the...

Oct 10, 2021 - Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): New data released by the...

Nov 11, 2021 - A sample size of two is never sufficient to get an accurate read of what’s happening in politics — let alone what will happen. But in the wake of the...

Dec 9, 2015 - Presidential hopefuls from both parties have been saying throughout the primary campaign that the American middle class is in trouble. Bernie Sanders says it...

Nathaniel Rakich is a senior editor and senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight.

May 19, 2020 - The competitive phase of the 2020 presidential primaries is over — which means we’ve updated FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings. These ratings cover this...

Sep 22, 2014 - In 1988, the typical American adult was 40 years old, white and married, with a high school diploma. If he was a man, he probably worked full time. If she was...

Sep 25, 2014 - Over the long run, Republicans and Democrats each win elections about half the time. This is not only a strong historical tendency, but also one well predicted...

Oct 3, 2016 - This is In Real Terms, a weekly column analyzing the latest economic news. Comments? Criticisms? Ideas for future columns? Email me, or drop a note in the...

Aug 5, 2022 - In games such as golf, you win by scoring lower than any of your opponents. But in the realm of presidential job approval, such an approach is a recipe for...

Oct 21, 2020 - This article was written in collaboration with First Draft, a nonprofit organization that provides investigative research to newsrooms tracking and reporting...

Dec 23, 2022 - Hint: His unscientific polls don’t tell us much.

May 20, 2016 - This is In Real Terms, a column analyzing the week in economic news. Comments? Criticisms? Ideas for future columns? Email me or drop a note in the comments....

Nov 29, 2021 - Violent crime is up. Data from the FBI found that the murder rate increased nearly 30 percent in 2020. And homicides continue to rise in 2021 as well, if not...

May 2, 2014 - This weekend, more than 150 Southern California college students are staying up late with a big data set. DataFest, in its fourth year, brings the spirit of...

Dec 6, 2017 - Science is being turned against itself. For decades, its twin ideals of transparency and rigor have been weaponized by those who disagree with results produced...

Daniel Cox is a research fellow for polling and public opinion at the American Enterprise Institute.

Dec 14, 2020 - “There’s a lot to be said about collective action and political activity that can be captured in these data sets.” When we read coverage of Yemen in this...

Jun 9, 2020 - Black Americans have a long history of fighting for racial justice — and the system has a long history of failing them.

Dec 5, 2017 - The wedding cake case before the Supreme Court signals a shift in status for evangelicals.

Feb 1, 2016 - On Friday, a team of researchers led by Stanford economist Raj Chetty released a paper on how growing up in poverty affects boys and girls differently. Their...

Nov 4, 2016 - Even at the end of a presidential campaign, polls don’t perfectly predict the final margin in the election. Sometimes the final polls are quite accurate. An...

Aug 22, 2023 - Galen Druke quizzes reporters from three early primary states to see how well they know the 2024 Republican candidates and whether they can tell the candidates...

May 6, 2016 - Update (March 28): Our readers have spoken, and we listened. We now have a catch-all RSS feed: This feed will deliver all FiveThirtyEight content. The...

Apr 16, 2020 - We’ve reached that stage of the campaign. The back-to-school commercials are on the air, and the “unskewing” of polls has begun — the quadrennial...