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https://www.businessinsider.com/lawmakers-staffers-not-required-disclose-prediction-market-trades-2026-4
Lawmakers, Staff Not yet Required to Disclose Prediction Market Bets - Business Insider
Apr 13, 2026 - Ethics laws require politicians to disclose stock trades. They don't require the same for trading on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.
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https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/30/politics/prediction-markets-justice-department
Exclusive: Federal prosecutors are exploring whether prediction market bets trip insider trading...
Mar 30, 2026 - Federal prosecutors in Manhattan are exploring whether certain lucrative bets placed on prediction markets have violated insider trading and other laws,...
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https://www.salon.com/2026/03/25/baseless-trump-admin-denies-involvement-in-suspicious-iran-prediction-market-bets/
"Baseless": Trump admin denies involvement in suspicious Iran prediction market bets - Salon.com
Mar 25, 2026 - Huge bets on unlikely futures have repeatedly popped up right before Trump announcements about the conflict.
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