Robuta

https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2016/11/election-day-finally.html?m=1 Probably Overthinking It: Election day, finally! Abstract : I defend my claim that voter suppression is 1000 times worse than voter fraud, and furthermore, that voter suppression introduces... probably overthinking itelection dayfinally https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2014/04/the-internet-and-religious-affiliation.html?m=0 Probably Overthinking It: The Internet and religious affiliation A few weeks ago I published this paper on arXiv: " Religious affiliation, education and Internet use ". Regular readers of this blog will r... probably overthinking itthe internetreligiousaffiliation https://hotsuto.com/items/251 Welcome to Probably Overthinking It | Hotsuto probably overthinking itwelcome to https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2014/11/the-world-cup-problem-germany-v-brazil.html?m=1 Probably Overthinking It: The World Cup Problem: Germany v. Brazil Earlier this semester I posed this problem to my Bayesian statistics class at Olin College : In the 2014 FIFA World Cup, Germany played B... probably overthinking itthe world cupproblemgermanybrazil https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2017/04/ Probably Overthinking It: April 2017 A blog by Allen Downey. probably overthinking itapril https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2013/05/?m=0 Probably Overthinking It: May 2013 A blog by Allen Downey. probably overthinking itmay https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2016/05/probability-is-hard-part-two.html?m=0 Probably Overthinking It: Probability is hard, part two If you read yesterday's post, you know that my colleague Sanjoy Mahajan and I have been working on a series of problems related to condition... probably overthinking ithard partprobabilitytwo https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2016/10/the-alien-blaster-problem.html?m=1 Probably Overthinking It: The Alien Blaster Problem Last week I posted the Alien Blaster Problem: In preparation for an alien invasion, the Earth Defense League has been working on new miss... probably overthinking itthe alienblasterproblem https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2015/11/one-million-is-lot.html?m=0 Probably Overthinking It: One million is a lot When I was in third grade, the principal of my elementary school announced a bottle cap drive with the goal of collecting one million bottle... probably overthinking itone millionlot https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2016/09/bayess-theorem-is-not-optional.html?m=1 Probably Overthinking It: Bayes's Theorem is not optional Abstract: I present a probability puzzle, the Rain in Seattle Problem, and use it to explain differences between the Bayesian and frequenti... probably overthinking itis notbayestheoremoptional https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2011/01/obesity-epidemic-cured.html?m=1 Probably Overthinking It: Obesity epidemic cured! I have good news to report -- the obesity epidemic is over. And the solution turns out to be the best kind: simple and completely painless... probably overthinking itobesity epidemiccured https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2011/02/moving-goalposts.html?m=0 Probably Overthinking It: Moving the goalposts Last week I wrote about the effect of the Boston Marathon qualifying standard on finish times in other marathons. The next day the organiz... probably overthinking itmovinggoalposts https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2011/04/?m=1 Probably Overthinking It: April 2011 A blog by Allen Downey. probably overthinking itapril https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2017/02/a-nice-bayes-theorem-problem-medical.html?m=0 Probably Overthinking It: A nice Bayes theorem problem: medical testing On these previous post about my favorite Bayes theorem problems , I got the following comment from a reader named Riya: I have a questio... probably overthinking itbayes theoremniceproblemmedical https://allendowney.blogspot.com/2013/02/belly-button-biodiversity-part-three.html?m=1 Probably Overthinking It: Belly Button Biodiversity: Part Three This is part three of a series of articles about a Bayesian solution to the Unseen Species problem, applied to data from the Belly Button... probably overthinking itbelly buttonbiodiversitypartthree