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https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/prestige-is-politicalhtml Prestige is Political - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Imagine an ancient forager band had a conflict. robin hanson overcoming bias prestige political https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/bike-helmets-failhtml Bike Helmet Laws Fail - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Two years ago I posted on evidence that called into question the effectiveness of bike helmet laws. helmet laws robin hanson overcoming bias bike fail https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/hypergamy-hypothesishtml Hypergamy Hypothesis - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias My last post said teen males want more sex than teen females. robin hanson overcoming bias hypergamy hypothesis https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/history-of-social-darwinism History of Social Darwinism - by Robin Hanson As prep for coming posts, let me fill you in on some history. social darwinism robin hanson history https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/should-you-kiss-asshtml/comments Comments - Should You Kiss Ass? - by Robin Hanson Consider two possible work strategies. robin hanson comments kiss ass https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/how-good-are-laughshtml/comments Comments - How Good Are Laughs? - by Robin Hanson We often underestimate our different were our ancestors from us; we like to assume that even if they wore different costumes on the outside, they felt like us... robin hanson comments good laughs https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/alexander-on-age-of-emhtml Alexander on Age of Em - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias If I ever have an executioner, I want him to be Scott Alexander. robin hanson overcoming bias alexander age em https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/beware-competent-world-govt Beware Competent World Govt - by Robin Hanson robin hanson beware competent world govt https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/gullible-then-shtml Gullible Then Skeptical - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias A friend, Ute Shaw, asks why we seem too eager to believe the first opinion we hear on a subject, and then seem too skeptical about further contrary opinions... robin hanson overcoming bias skeptical https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/whether-diamondhtml Diamond Palace Survive? - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias The November National Geographic has spectacular picts of a gypsum cave found in a Mexico lead/silver mine: diamond palace robin hanson overcoming bias survive https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/dont-enslave-digital-minds/comments Comments - Don't Enslave Digital Minds - by Robin Hanson Due to low cultural variety and weak selection pressures, our dominant world culture seems to be drifting into maladaptive dysfunction. digital minds robin hanson comments enslave https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/med-like-car-insurehtml Med Like Car Insure? - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias With car insurance, you typically first get a neutral expert diagnosis of the damage to your car. Second, you get a check based the estimated cost of a... robin hanson overcoming bias med like car https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/deliberation-inhtml Deliberation in Prediction Markets - by Robin Hanson prediction markets robin hanson deliberation https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/odd_kid_nameshtml Odd Kid Names - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias From the May 5 New Scientist: robin hanson overcoming bias odd kid names https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/leadership-fantasieshtml/comments Comments - Leadership Fantasies - by Robin Hanson Predictions about leadership in 2030: robin hanson comments leadership fantasies https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/28328html/comments Comments - Alcohol As Placebo - by Robin Hanson A week ago I had dinner with a respected drug policy expert who disapproves of drug legalization because he sees big negative externalities from alcohol use,... robin hanson comments alcohol placebo https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/why-teen-paternhtml Why Teen Paternalism? - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Though in centuries past 15-19 year olds were treated as adults, today we often paternalistically restrict their behavior because of "immature" brains. An OpEd... robin hanson overcoming bias teen paternalism https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/shy-and-badly-dressedhtml/comments Comments - Shy And Badly Dressed - by Robin Hanson robin hanson comments shy badly dressed https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/homebased-group-insurancehtml/comments Comments - Home-Based Group Insurance - by Robin Hanson home based group insurance robin hanson comments https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/join-we-meta-adaptionists Join We Meta-Adaptionists - by Robin Hanson Standard decision theory says that all decisions combine two key factors: opinions on values, and beliefs about facts. robin hanson join meta https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/open-thread-48html/comments Comments - Open Thread - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias This is our monthly place to discuss relevant topics that have not appeared in recent posts. open thread robin hanson overcoming bias comments https://www.overcomingbias.com/?s=gossip Overcoming Bias | Robin Hanson | Substack This is a blog on why we believe and do what we do, why we pretend otherwise, how we might do better, and what our descendants might do, if they don't all die.... overcoming bias robin hanson substack https://events.foresight.org/summary/robin-hanson-george-mason-university-deflecting-the-sacred/ Robin Hanson, George Mason University | Deflecting The Sacred - Foresight Institute Jun 12, 2023 - Presenter Robin Hanson, George Mason University Robin Dale Hanson is an associate professor of economics at George Mason University and a research george mason university robin hanson the sacred foresight institute https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/why-newshtml Why News? - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Google Alerts has failed me. robin hanson overcoming bias news https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/my-status-circles My Status Circles - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Most of us have circles of concern, where we care more about folks from our inner circles than our outer circles. my status robin hanson overcoming bias circles https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/accountable_finhtml Accountable Financial Regulation - by Robin Hanson financial regulation robin hanson accountable https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/fair-landownerthtml Fair Landowner Coffee - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Many people feel proud of buying "fair trade" coffee, because it is supposed to help the poor people who grow the coffee. But it turns out that the benefits go... robin hanson overcoming bias fair landowner coffee https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/true-em-grithtml/comments Comments - True Em Grit - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias The new movie True Grit is a well-done celebration of the central farmer value of self-control. robin hanson overcoming bias comments true em https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/feels-gone-wrong Feels Gone Wrong - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias The films A Complete Unknown, on Bob Dylan, and In Restless Dreams, on Paul Simon, make vivid to me the huge emotional appeal of becoming a musician like them. robin hanson overcoming bias feels gone wrong https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/unincorporated-manhtml/comments Comments - Unincorporated Man - by Robin Hanson The science fiction novel, The Unincorporated Man, is widely praised for its thought-provoking premise. Yet I find no evidence that it provoked thought about... robin hanson comments man https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/five-ways-to-ratehtml/comments Comments - Five Ways to Rate - by Robin Hanson When we have people and orgs do things for us, we need ways to rate them. five ways robin hanson comments rate https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/bias-is-a-red-queen-gamehtml Bias Is A Red Queen Game - by Robin Hanson It takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place. The Red Queen. is a robin hanson bias red queen https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/women-in-management-prediction-markethtml Bottom Boss Prediction Market - by Robin Hanson Sheryl Sandberg and Rachel Thomas write: prediction market robin hanson bottom boss https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/how-idealists-aid-cheatershtml How Idealists Aid Cheaters - by Robin Hanson Humans have long used norms to great advantage to coordinate behavior. robin hanson aid cheaters https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/let-all-med-hang-outhtml Let All Med Hang Out? - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias I assign my undergrad students papers on unusual policy proposals, and grade those papers on the number of important relevant arguments offered, pro or con. hang out robin hanson overcoming bias let med https://benedante.blogspot.com/2021/10/robin-hanson-on-dominance-vs-prestige.html bensozia: Robin Hanson on Dominance vs. Prestige Robin Hanson has a go at explaining much about human society via a dichotomy between dominance and prestige. We, under this theory, mostly ... robin hanson dominance vs prestige https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/value-of-virginityhtml Value Of Virginity - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias robin hanson overcoming bias value virginity https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/spaceship-earth-in-culture-spacehtml Spaceship Earth Explores Culture Space - by Robin Hanson Space: the final frontier. spaceship earth robin hanson culture https://www.podcasts.ox.ac.uk/index.php/people/robin-hanson Robin Hanson | University of Oxford Podcasts university of oxford robin hanson podcasts https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/contributors_behtml Contributors: Be Half Accessible - by Robin Hanson We intended this "web forum" to be a cross between a group blog and a conversation among experts. We want to both attract readers to highlight our cause, and... robin hanson contributors half accessible https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/carbon-is-losthtml Is Carbon Lost Cause? - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Browsing a Royal Society Phil Trans special issue on geo-engineering and reading a paper by Lane and Montgomery tempts me to ask: is carbon a lost cause? lost cause robin hanson overcoming bias carbon https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/hypocritical-flatteryhtml Hypocritical Flattery - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Humans usually have a social norm against flattery. robin hanson overcoming bias flattery https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/is-she-just-beihtml Is She Just Friendly? - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Men often have trouble knowing what women want. In particular, men have trouble telling if a women is just being friendly or has a more sexual interest. This... robin hanson overcoming bias friendly https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/polygamy-hypocrisyhtml/comments Comments - Polygamy Hypocrisy - by Robin Hanson Polygamy is on trial in Canada, where one of the issues is what justifies anti-polygamy laws infringing on the choices of consenting adults. robin hanson comments polygamy hypocrisy https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/three-value-clumps Three Value Clumps - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias I have long posted on studies that try to make sense of how human values differ, and how they have changed over time. robin hanson overcoming bias three value clumps https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/science-fiction-is-fantasyhtml/comments Comments - Science Fiction Is Fantasy - by Robin Hanson Why do people like fantasy novels? science fiction robin hanson comments fantasy https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/consider-controlled-infectionhtml/comments Comments - Consider Controlled Infection - by Robin Hanson In many places long ago, in families with many kids, as soon as one kid caught an illness, parents would put the other kids in close contact, so they could all... robin hanson comments consider controlled infection https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/popular-fields-less-accuratehtml Popular Fields Less Accurate - by Robin Hanson robin hanson popular fields less accurate https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/caplan-gums-bulhtml Caplan Gums Bullet - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias robin hanson overcoming bias gums bullet https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/open-thread-42html/comments Comments - Open Thread - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias This is our monthly place to discuss relevant topics that have not appeared in recent posts. open thread robin hanson overcoming bias comments https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/missing-life-lessonshtml Missing Life-Lessons - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias We learn many things over the space of our lives. missing life robin hanson overcoming bias lessons https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/theories-arent-just-metaphorshtml/comments Comments - Theories vs. Metaphors - by Robin Hanson I have said things like: robin hanson comments theories vs metaphors https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/a-post-em-era-hinthtml/comments Comments - A Post-Em-Era Hint - by Robin Hanson a post robin hanson comments em era https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/open-thread-15html Open Thread - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Here is our monthly place to discuss Overcoming Bias topics that have not appeared in recent posts. open thread robin hanson overcoming bias https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/on-our-ownhtml On Our Own - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias When you are treated unjustly, so much that it bothers you a lot, on ave. on our own robin hanson overcoming bias https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/breadth-humor-show-privilegehtml Breadth, Humor Show Privilege - by Robin Hanson Imagine an old costume drama, showing servants interacting with those they serve. robin hanson breadth humor show privilege https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/medical-wealth-effectshtml/comments Comments - Medical Wealth Effects - by Robin Hanson Imagine being a cash-poor college student who likes expensive sports cars. robin hanson comments medical wealth effects https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/preferences-awarenesshtml Preferences Awareness - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias robin hanson overcoming bias preferences awareness https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/blind_winnershtml Blind Winners - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias In the late 1980s, when I was a nobody working on my own on "hypertext publishing," our name then for what would become the web, I gave a talk on the subject... robin hanson overcoming bias blind winners https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/we-trust-the-statusfulhtml We Trust The Statusful - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias The ancient world heavily favored aristocrats for important social positions. we trust robin hanson overcoming bias https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/intelligent-deshtml Intelligent Design Honesty - by Robin Hanson The excellent and famous philosopher Thomas Nagel on teaching intelligent design: intelligent design robin hanson honesty https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/words-vs-betshtml Words Vs. Bets - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias I once had a long discussion with Ken Steiglitz about P=NP, while I was still at Princeton. robin hanson overcoming bias words vs bets https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/today-is-filter-dayhtml/comments Comments - Today Is Filter Day - by Robin Hanson By tracking daily news fluctuations, we can have fun, join in common conversations, and signal our abilities to track events and to quickly compose clever... today is robin hanson comments filter https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/gas-artibragehtml Gas Arbitrage - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias When I bought my Miata the dealer told me to use premium gas, but my wife recently suggested I try regular. At which point I considered midgrade gas, and... robin hanson overcoming bias gas arbitrage https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/beware-detached-detailhtml/comments Comments - Beware Detached Detail - by Robin Hanson Yesterday I talked about how "social minds must both make good decisions, and present good images to others" and suggested "the near-far brain division can be... robin hanson comments beware detached detail https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/are-nations-tribeshtml Are Nations Tribes? - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias robin hanson overcoming bias nations tribes https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/our-authoritarian-default Our Authoritarian Default - by Robin Hanson Many intellectuals, and intellectual wannabes, would, if pressed accept that UFOs seem sufficiently puzzling to justify more careful study. robin hanson authoritarian default https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/the-longshot-biashtml/comments Comments - The Longshot Bias - by Robin Hanson I should have reported on this Snowberg-Wolfers paper long ago: robin hanson comments longshot bias https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/my-fertility-posts My Fertility Posts - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias These are my blog posts on fertility, in reverse chronological order: robin hanson overcoming bias fertility posts https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/this-too-shall-pass This Too Shall Pass - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias The world economy grew by a factor of twenty over the last century, and five over the prior century. robin hanson overcoming bias shall pass https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/biased-revengehtml Biased Revenge? - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Yesterday Bryan Caplan asked: robin hanson overcoming bias biased revenge https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/scott-adams-onhtml Scott Adams on Bias - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias To me, Justin Timberlake sounds like a shockingly untalented guy with a lot of musical training. scott adams robin hanson bias overcoming https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/cloud-seeding-mhtml/comments Comments - Cloud Seeding Markets - by Robin Hanson Nature considers cloud-seeding: cloud seeding robin hanson comments markets https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/ignoring-advicehtml/comments Comments - Ignoring Advice - by Robin Hanson When do people listen to advice? I teach my health econ students about studies showing no effect from randomized trials giving (or not giving) advice to teens... robin hanson comments ignoring advice https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/brin-says-cryonics-selfishhtml Brin Says Cryonics Selfish - by Robin Hanson Like Tyler, sf author David Brin says cryonics is selfish: robin hanson brin says cryonics selfish https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/given-our-date-is-sun-birth-latehtml Given Our Date, Is Sun Birth Late? - by Robin Hanson In our grabby aliens paper, we use a simple model that predicts the appearance of advanced life in terms of when habitable stars are formed, how long they... robin hanson given date sun birth https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/break-cryonics-downhtml/comments Comments - Break Cryonics Down - by Robin Hanson The essence of analysis is to "break it down", to take apart vague wholes into clearer parts. For the same reasons we make point lists to help us make tough... robin hanson comments break cryonics https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/on-what-is-advice-usefulhtml/comments Comments - On What Is Advice Useful? - by Robin Hanson Regarding what areas of our life do we think advisors can usefully advise? what is robin hanson comments advice useful https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/pick-one-sick-kids-or-look-poorhtml Pick One: Sick Kids or Look Poor - by Robin Hanson sick kids robin hanson pick one look https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/fairness-in-love-and-warhtml/comments Comments - Fairness in Love And War - by Robin Hanson The rules of fair play do not apply in love and war. John Lyly, Euphues, 1578. love and war robin hanson comments fairness https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/anti-edgyhtml/comments Comments - Anti-Edgy - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias In the art world something is "edgy" if it might well shock ordinary folks, but of course not in-the-know folks. The idea seems to be that ordinary folks are... robin hanson overcoming bias comments anti edgy https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/nature-culture-or-law Nature, Culture, Or Law? - by Robin Hanson To get your child potty trained, I see three approaches: robin hanson nature culture law https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/beware_of_disaghtml Beware of Disagreeing with Lewis - by Robin Hanson David Lewis, my guess for the most important philosopher of the last half century, seems to reduce philosophers who disagree with him to saying "just because,... robin hanson beware disagreeing lewis https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/ai-pause-regs-look-risky AI Pause Regs Look Risky - by Robin Hanson robin hanson ai pause regs look https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/world-welfare-shtml World Welfare State - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias At at the city, state, or national levels we sometimes "help the poor" via initiatives to "develop" this or that region, but what we mostly have is "welfare"... welfare state robin hanson overcoming bias world https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/beware-mob-war-strategyhtml/comments Comments - Beware Mob War Strategy - by Robin Hanson The game theory is clear: it can be in your interest to make threats that it would not be in your interest to carry out. robin hanson comments beware mob strategy https://www.econlib.org/archives/2009/06/robin_hanson_on.html Robin Hanson on the Signalling Process - Econlib Apr 5, 2018 - He writes, a boss who has known you for years may not promote you unless you get a better degree, even if that teaches you nothing useful for your job. He... robin hanson signalling process econlib https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/seeking-culture-epics Seeking Culture Epics - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Most stories are small, about short periods in the lives of a few people or small groups. robin hanson overcoming bias seeking culture epics https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/graeme-wood-on-furarchyhtml Graeme Wood on Futarchy - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias At the end of his article on the deaths of Intrade and its founder John Delaney, Graeme Wood considers futarchy: graeme wood robin hanson overcoming bias futarchy https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/take-origins-seriouslyhtml Take Origins Seriously - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias We have a strong tendency to believe what we were taught to believe. robin hanson overcoming bias take origins seriously https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/caplan-debate-statushtml/comments Comments - Caplan Debate Status - by Robin Hanson In this post I summarize my recent disagreement with Bryan Caplan. robin hanson comments debate status https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/near-cares-morehtml Near Cares More - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias We care more about things in near view, vs. more by robin hanson overcoming bias near cares https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/a-perfect-storm-of-inflexibilityhtml A Perfect Storm of Inflexibility - by Robin Hanson Most biological species specialize for particular ecological niches. a perfect storm robin hanson https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/is-the-city-ularity-nearhtml Is The City-ularity Near? - by Robin Hanson The land around New York City is worth a lot. A 2008 analysis estimated prices for land, not counting buildings etc., for most (~80%?) of the nearby area (2750... the city robin hanson near https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/shoo-libertarian-trollshtml Shoo Libertarian Knights - by Robin Hanson Dear libertarian knight seeking to win honor via comment battles with heathen blogger dragons: robin hanson shoo libertarian knights https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/only-do-math-homeworkhtml Only Do Math Homework - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Following an identification strategy that allows us to largely eliminate unobserved student and teacher traits, we examine the effect of homework on math,... math homework robin hanson overcoming bias https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/welcome-carl-shulmanhtml Welcome Carl Shulman - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Today we welcome a fourth author at Overcoming Bias: Carl Shulman. robin hanson overcoming bias welcome carl shulman https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/who-likes-band-musichtml Who Likes Band Music? - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias Smiling politely through yet another performance by my son's school band tonight, I wondered: why do school bands play music so different from what the kids,... band music robin hanson overcoming bias likes https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/how-to-pick-a-quackhtml How To Pick A Quack: Data - by Robin Hanson How do we pick, or think we should pick, our experts? how to pick robin hanson quack data https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/uppity-chinahtml Uppity China - by Robin Hanson - Overcoming Bias He started it! I was just minding my own business when out of the blue he looked at me funny. So I had to clock him. robin hanson overcoming bias china