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https://simplefunctions.dev/legislation
Legislation Tracker — Bills with Prediction Markets | SimpleFunctions | SimpleFunctions
Track US federal legislation with linked prediction market probabilities. See which bills have active markets on Kalshi and Polymarket.
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https://simplefunctions.dev/
SimpleFunctions — Prediction Market Data API & Autonomous Trading
Prediction market data across 48,000+ Kalshi and Polymarket contracts — computed indicators, the SF Prediction Market Index, and cross-venue arbitrage.
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https://simplefunctions.dev/thesis/us-iran-ground-invasion
Will US Ground Invasion of Iran Follow Failed… — 1% Probability · 102 edges | SimpleFunctions
Apr 19, 2026 - Thesis confidence drops as multiple mediation channels (Oman, Pakistan) report breakthroughs, directly contradicting the 'no diplomatic off-ramp' core...
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