https://simplefunctions.dev/thesis/energy-costs-kill-ai-scaling
Will High Oil Prices Derail AI Infrastructure… — 2% Probability · 137 edges | SimpleFunctions
Apr 15, 2026 - Recent market signals show a strong retreat in energy price expectations, specifically regarding WTI oil and natural gas benchmarks, which weakens the thesis...
https://simplefunctions.dev/ideas/bnb-below-480-and-tail-crypto-shorts-high-iy-negative-moment-10cf3cda
SimpleFunctions — Prediction Market Infrastructure
Machine-readable Kalshi and Polymarket infrastructure: normalized event data, calibrated probabilities, indicators, monitoring, and execution workflows for...
prediction marketsimplefunctionsinfrastructure
https://simplefunctions.dev/thesis/powell-warsh-fed-succession
Can Political Pressure Force the Fed Into… — 81% Probability · 234 edges | SimpleFunctions
Jul 29, 2026 - Thesis confidence softened slightly to 0.81 as market pricing for rate cuts in 2027 receded and unemployment expectations cooled, though the core 'political...
https://sparkco.ai/blog/how-to-build-prediction-market-trading-bot-simplefunctions
Build a Prediction Market Trading Bot | SimpleFunctions
Jul 30, 2026 - Step-by-step guide to building an automated prediction market trading bot using SimpleFunctions CLI, Kalshi API, and thesis-driven edge detection.
prediction markettrading botbuildsimplefunctions