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Caveat Bettor: Intrade prediction market says Rick Perry is jumping into the 2012 presidential race
The chaos in Newt Gingrich's camp seems to be the catalyst, as staffers could be ditching him for Perry. Via Justin Wolfers . Image link ...
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Caveat Bettor: Cartoon of the day: teaching our kids to be good little citizens
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/03/case-against-military-conscription.html
Caveat Bettor: A case against military conscription
via Gateway Pundit : The scarcer the troops, the better risk management from the generals. Another interesting graph: Such correlations have...
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Caveat Bettor: The 2008 Global Warming Contract has expired; 2009 contract is listed
The 2008 GLOBAL Land-Ocean average was 0.438 Celsius degrees (above baseline mean of 14C), according to the Goddard Institute for Space Stud...
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Caveat Bettor: Is it me, or is this more Eminem than Vanilla Ice
As Darth Vader might say: the circle is now complete.
or this
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2009/11/why-government-leads-to-dizziness-and.html
Caveat Bettor: Why the government leads to dizziness and inefficiency
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/05/chart-of-day-religious-affluence.html
Caveat Bettor: Chart of the day: Religious affluence
Source here , via William Easterly and Laura Freschi
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Caveat Bettor: Journalism majors, always at the forefront
Originally from the pit at Tradesports(TM) (RIP 2008) ... on trading, risk, economics, politics, policy, sports, culture, entertainment, and whatever else...
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Caveat Bettor: Arnold Kling on the Keynesian emperor and lack of clothes
here : Once you accept the notion that jobs can be scarce, you can turn the rest of economics upside-down as well. 1. In macroeconomics, mo...
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Caveat Bettor: Huckabee trying to cover up his
propensity for tax increases (via Club For Growth ). =
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Caveat Bettor: Thursday Night College Sept.14
The 5th-ranked Mountaineers are and have been bet up to a 16-point choice. Last year they went to Maryland in the third game of the season a...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/05/quote-of-day_14.html
Caveat Bettor: Quote of the day
Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job. - Douglas Adams
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Caveat Bettor: Quotes of the day
In short [the federal government's Troubled Asset Relief Program, i.e. TARP] may have been the most successful United States program ever. ...
of thecaveatbettorquotesday
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/06/chart-of-day-edmonton-flushes-during.html
Caveat Bettor: Chart of the day: Edmonton flushes during 2010 gold medal hockey game
Source here , via Chris Jones . DISCLOSURE: I am guilty of schadenfreude.
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/03/larry-lindsey-looks-at-florida-and.html
Caveat Bettor: Larry Lindsey looks at the Florida and Michigan democratic primaries
by the numbers, and concludes that Hillary would probably have won both of them : In sum, the Michigan vote was flawed in ways the Florida v...
at the
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2009/01/quote-of-day_23.html
Caveat Bettor: Quotes of the day
My work always tried to unite the True with the Beautiful, but when I had to choose one over the other, I usually chose the Beautiful.-- Her...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2007/02/barack-trips-does-he-stumble.html
Caveat Bettor: Barack trips, does he stumble?
From OpinionJournal : On Sunday Sen. Barack Obama, speaking at Iowa State University, made this jaw-dropping statement: We ended ...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/11/chat-with-my-favorite-broker-on.html
Caveat Bettor: A chat with my favorite broker, on the possible demise of Goldman Sachs
Broker: hearing bad rumors about Goldman Cav: probably way long commodities Cav: i know their prop traders are really underwater. buttresse...
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Caveat Bettor: Competition enhances compassion
At least it does for a high school basketball game . (Via Don Surber )
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/03/bear-naked-lenders.html
Caveat Bettor: Bear Naked Lenders
in today's WSJ : The hard capitalist truth is that Bear's most senior managers have mainly themselves to blame. They bought their second or ...
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Caveat Bettor: David Brooks provides a helpful American inequality map
here . My favorites: Status inequality is acceptable for college teachers. Universities exist within a finely gradated status structure, w...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2009/10/quotes-of-day_27.html
Caveat Bettor: Quotes of the day
If the expert is so smart, why isn't he rich?-- Scott Adams Experience is a good teacher, but she sends in terrific bills.--Minna Thoma...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2007/11/quote-of-day_20.html
Caveat Bettor: Quote of the day
Tell me: Why should the courts spare the government from the harsh effects of laws that are written at a high level of generality? Private c...
of thecaveatbettorquoteday
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/03/putting-words-in-mouths-of-sumner-and.html
Caveat Bettor: Putting words in the mouths of Sumner and Taylor
This oughta be good . The quality of comments for this post is unequaled.
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/12/silver-lining.html
Caveat Bettor: Silver linings
from an old Ponzi scheme : But Wall Street's most famous Ponzi scheme was, like the present one, no small affair. And its principal victim w...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/04/chart-of-day-generational-income.html
Caveat Bettor: Chart of the day: Generational Income Mobility
Via Russ Roberts , who notes: Notice that all of the quintiles, except the top quintile get smaller shares between 1970 and 2000, roughly t...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/12/looking-forward-to-2009.html
Caveat Bettor: Looking forward to 2009
A Kennedy and Cuomo are competing to succeed a Clinton in New York ; the skids are greased for a Biden to replace a Biden in Delaware; one S...
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Caveat Bettor: Chart of the day
From my favorite management consultant: I am all for education. Not that progressive scatology that has been sweeping the nation for a coup...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/12/graph-of-day-from-quiz-of-day.html
Caveat Bettor: Graph of the day (from the quiz of the day)
CO2 levels very, very low in geologic time: Source of graph from this quiz .
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Caveat Bettor: Tax uncertainty
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Caveat Bettor: Our family hates purple
Bill Simmons wrestles with family loyalty. Sports loyalty, to be specific . My daughter is the only Red Sox fan in her school. When the ...
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Caveat Bettor: Quotes of the day
If it was a real recession and not a bubble, then clearly the policy response has failed. If instead it was a bubble, then the policy respo...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2007/06/fees-analysis-by-todd.html
Caveat Bettor: Fees analysis, by Todd
Chris Masse has Todd's charts before me, as Chris blogs at the speed of light, and I blog at the speed of diaper changes.
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2007/09/scott-adams-reports-on-his-nyc-subway.html
Caveat Bettor: Scott Adams reports on his NYC subway experience
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2012/09/psalm-2012.html
Caveat Bettor: Psalm 2012
A psalm of Cav, inspired by Psalm 23 , a psalm of David. The LORD is my banker, I lack nothing. He makes me save into insured acc...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/12/it-seems-that-new-york-state.html
Caveat Bettor: It seems that New York State
is incapable of cutting spending .
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2009/01/what-happened-to-larry-summers-and.html
Caveat Bettor: What happened to Larry Summers and President Obama
on the way to the White House : Throughout 2008, Larry Summers, the Harvard economist, built the case for a big but surgical stimulus packag...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2010/05/on-move-up-both-probability-of-euro.html
Caveat Bettor: On the move up: both the probability of a Euro country dropping the unified currency
as well as the liquidity on the Intrade contract :
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/02/mulligan-on-hillary.html
Caveat Bettor: A mulligan on Hillary
John Lewis changes his mind . DISCLOSURE: Yes, I see the irony of this link, given that one .
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/12/mortgage-modifications-are-not-working.html
Caveat Bettor: Mortgage modifications are not working
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Caveat Bettor: Blinding me with science ... contracts
Tom Bell has a great paper on the great value of prediction markets in science: The scientific prediction exchange would promote progress i...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2009/01/markets-in-everything.html
Caveat Bettor: Markets in everything
even virginity . Well, maybe it's more the deflowering process. (Via Drudge ).
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2009/04/hmm-do-more-women-convert-to-judaism.html
Caveat Bettor: Hmm, do more women convert to Judaism than men?
I suspect so . Timothy, you get props . Thank God for grace.
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/11/chart-of-day-gop-presidential-candidate.html
Caveat Bettor: Chart of the day: GOP presidential candidate tax plans
Source here . Not that it really matters, because Congress is going to reject most of these ideas, or else the future President is going to...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/12/quotes-of-day-grantland-version.html
Caveat Bettor: Quotes of the day: Grantland version
To err is human, to forgive divine, and to be a fan is to never forgive. It is to remain scornful and withhold forgiveness until someone pr...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/03/did-former-soviet-leader.html
Caveat Bettor: Did a former Soviet leader
just buy some GOD.EXISTS ? Maybe he's a reader of this blog . UPDATE: Seems like he might have bought a long time ago . UPDATE: No, he's ju...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2012/06/quotes-of-day_18.html
Caveat Bettor: Quotes of the day
I have no doubt some people can predict infrequent events, ... Yet it's pretty hard to validate objectively, and in my experienced is b...
of thecaveatbettorquotesday
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/12/epitome-of-bad-track-record.html
Caveat Bettor: Epitome of a bad track record
The National Retail Federation's predictions of holiday sales : Year NRF Survey Forecast Actual Holiday Sales ...
of acaveatbettorepitomebad
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/05/good.html
Caveat Bettor: Good
If there is such a thing as a useful election defeat, then Tuesday's Republican loss in a special House election in Mississippi would qualif...
caveatbettorgood
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/08/new-york-fails-to-crack-top-10-list.html
Caveat Bettor: New York fails to crack the Top 10 list
of most promiscuous cities in America . Via Dealbreaker . Photo link here .
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/08/sushinomics-cost-of-living-index.html
Caveat Bettor: The Sushinomics Cost-of-Living Index
in 27 cities and their rankings , with 100 as average. Los Angeles 126.63 New York 120.97 San Francisco 117.44 ... Col...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/12/regulation-used-for-abuse.html
Caveat Bettor: Regulation used for abuse
Teens gaming speed cameras .
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2009/08/quote-of-day_28.html
Caveat Bettor: Quotes of the day
One martini is just right. Two martinis are too many. Three martinis are never enough.-- M. F. K. Fisher Placebos are getting more effective...
of thecaveatbettorquotesday
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/08/boenher-principle-saves-us-from-worser.html
Caveat Bettor: Boenher Principle* saves us from a worser fate
*any debt limit increase has to be matched by spending reductions This looks like it's 2% of the economy, and 10% off of Obama's proposal....
caveatbettorprinciplesavesus
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2009/01/ted-chillin-under-tarp.html
Caveat Bettor: TED chillin' under the TARP
Says Greg Mankiw , which means that the federal bailout is working.
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/01/best-hedge-fund-year-ever-award.html
Caveat Bettor: Best hedge fund year ever award
goes to John Paulson : By 2005, Mr. Paulson, known as J.P., worried that U.S. economic strength would flag. He began selling short the bonds...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/03/quote-of-day_10.html
Caveat Bettor: Quotes of the day
If Mr. Spitzer wants us to butt out of his private affairs, he should from here on in set an example by butting out of everyone else's priva...
of thecaveatbettorquotesday
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/05/calling-housing-bottom.html
Caveat Bettor: Calling the housing bottom?
A rent-over-buy evangelist capitulates and buys .
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Caveat Bettor: Chart of the day: Historic SPX earnings
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https://www.si.com/extra-mustard/2023/02/07/legendary-bettor-mattress-mack-jim-mcingvale-opposes-sports-betting-texas
Legendary Bettor Mattress Mack Opposes Sports Betting in Texas
Feb 7, 2023 - The Houston furniture mogul has an interesting perspective on the push to legalize betting in the Lone Star state.
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2010/02/chart-of-day-us-troop-deployments.html
Caveat Bettor: Chart of the day: US troop deployments
chart of the daycaveatbettorustroop
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/02/mankiw-nails-universal-health-care.html
Caveat Bettor: Mankiw nails universal health care
like a gold medal gymnast : In any kind of national health system, some treatments will, by simple cost-benefit calculation, be deemed too e...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2009/04/don-surber-imagines-barack-obama-back.html
Caveat Bettor: Don Surber imagines Barack Obama back in elementary school
Here's a bit of it : His math skills seem to be slightly deficient. The other day, in preparation for the standardized test, I asked the stu...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2008/07/don-surbers-presidential-backtest.html
Caveat Bettor: Don Surber's Presidential Backtest
here . A few samples: 1. George Washington. Old warrior. McCain. 2. John Adams. Thin-skinned. Alien and Sedition Act. Obama. 3. Thomas Je...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2010/06/this-just-in-constitution-is-still.html
Caveat Bettor: This just in: Constitution is still relevant
The Supreme Court upheld separation of powers by striking down Sarbanes-Oxley , and upheld the Second Amendment by striking down Chicago gun...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/06/chart-of-day-cycles.html
Caveat Bettor: Chart of the day: Cycles
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2009/08/arnold-kling-spanks-government.html
Caveat Bettor: Arnold Kling spanks the government
and good : The Federal Home Loan Banks, or FHLB's, were known as the "flubs." They were created in the 1930's to serve as a lender of last r...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2009/08/scott-sumner-has-found-possible.html
Caveat Bettor: Scott Sumner has found a possible successor to Ben Bernanke
His name is Lars Svensson . And here's the link to Joel Sherwood's piece in the WSJ .
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https://pullthepocket.blogspot.com/2021/11/are-you-fan-or-bettor-breeders-cup.html
PTP: Are You a Fan or a Bettor? Breeders' Cup Edition
Ya, those of us who primarily bet are fans and bettors. We own horses, love watching the greats and get chills when we see a great performa...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2007/01/conditional-superbowl-victory.html
Caveat Bettor: Conditional Superbowl victory probabilities
70% NFL.PATRIOTS 65% NFL.COLTS 36% NFL.SAINTS 33% NFL.BEARS Last of 3 posts, the prior post avail...
caveatbettorconditionalsuperbowlvictory
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/12/quotes-of-day_16.html
Caveat Bettor: Quotes of the day
From 3 to 12, kids are mainly animals. Their humanity and social nature still aren't complete. So you have to use Pavlovian methods to ed...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2007/08/biblical-case-for-libertarian.html
Caveat Bettor: A biblical case for the libertarian productivity advantage
A libertarian capitalist and biologist raise this , from the book of Proverbs: Check out this Econtalk podcast , an interview with ant scie...
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2010/02/intrades-current-oscars-pricing.html
Caveat Bettor: Intrade's current Oscars pricing
Picture Last AVATAR 39% HURT.LOCKER 52% INGLOR.BASTERDS 6% UP.IN.THE.AIR 1% ...
caveatbettorintradecurrentoscars
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2007/06/fair-value-will-be-market-making-usopen.html
Caveat Bettor: "Fair Value" will be market making the US.OPEN today through Sunday
Spreads are a little wide, but I've already taken a little profit (mostly from US.OPEN.FURYK). Fair Value : Good morning Golf Fans Fair V...
https://bettorsafe.org/
Bettor Safe - Online Betting: What you need to know.
Bettor Safe is committed to educating consumers about the risks associated with betting on illegal websites. The campaign empowers individuals to identify…
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https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/11/top-10-debate-brain-freeze-excuses.html
Caveat Bettor: Top 10 Debate Brain Freeze Excuses
I need to memorize these when I get home late, and need to give my wife a full report: 10. Actually, there were three reasons I messed up...
brain freezecaveatbettortopdebate
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2007/12/exception-to-cavs-blonde-muting-policy.html
Caveat Bettor: An exception to Cav's blonde muting policy
is Franziska Michor , the "Isaac Newton of Biology" (via Steve Levitt )
caveatbettorexceptionblondemuting
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2011/10/female-reasons-for-sex.html
Caveat Bettor: Top female reasons for sex
Source here (which also ranks top male reasons, ranking 100 reasons in all for each gender), via Robin Hanson : 1. I was attracted to the ...
top femalecaveatbettorreasonssex
https://caveatbettor.blogspot.com/2010/02/similaries-between-climategateclimatequ.html
Caveat Bettor: Similaries between Climategate/Climatequiddick and Enron
here . Via Steve McIntyre .
caveatbettorclimategateenron