https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2015/11/philidor-20-valeant-and-stephen-king.html?showComment=1448863540457&m=0
Bronte Capital: Philidor 2.0: Valeant and Stephen King play Chess with a lot of pharmacies
Valeant ( VRX:NYSE ) has managed the improbable. It sells (a). Generic drugs often with close substitutes, (b). It has raised th...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2011/03/guy-in-charge-of-purchasing-acreage-at.html?showComment=1301577440790
Bronte Capital: The guy in charge of purchasing acreage at Northern Oil
Northern Oil is not a traditional oil exploration and production company. It has a simple model. It buys part shares in acreage in the Bakke...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2008/09/wm-preferred-versus-common.html?m=1
Bronte Capital: WM preferred versus common
Washington Mutual Pref is wildly mispriced compared to the common. The common is behaving badly - but as if survival is a small possibility...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2011/01/skepticism-and-wealthy-investors.html?showComment=1295032395729
Bronte Capital: Skepticism and wealthy investors
I know a rich bloke who is usually pretty switched on who is a private investor in Black Light Power . That is - at least to my eyes - a v...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2011/05/scuttlebutt-method-of-stock-research.html?showComment=1304306399192
Bronte Capital: The scuttlebutt method of stock research
Phillip Fisher – one of the great investment gurus of all time – used to talk about the “scuttlebutt method” - just finding out what is re...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2008/09/illiquidity-and-insolvency-and-takeover.html?showComment=1222429560000
Bronte Capital: Illiquidity and insolvency and the takeover of WaMu
A bank can be illiquid and insolvent. This is a nasty end-game. It can be insolvent but not illiquid – when it has plenty of access to d...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2008/11/berkshire-credit-default-swaps.html?m=0
Bronte Capital: Berkshire Credit Default Swaps
I am quite familiar with Berkshire - about as familiar as you can get by reading stat statements and the like. I can not blow it up. That m...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/10/are-spanish-banks-hiding-their-losses.html?showComment=1254762475675&m=0
Bronte Capital: Are the Spanish banks hiding their losses? Looking at the American data
Whether the Spanish banks are hiding their losses is a major debate going on in the blogosphere and has been detailed at length in the Fina...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2013/08/a-little-herbalife-red-herring.html?showComment=1375455387974&m=0
Bronte Capital: A little Herbalife red-herring
Here - linked - and from the SEC's Edgar database is the original Herbalife IPO prospectus. This document was filed on 1 October 2004. Re...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2011/06/sino-forests-and-puzzle-for-media.html
Bronte Capital: Sino Forests and a puzzle for media analysts
The Globe and Mail (a mainstream Canadian newspaper) has published a piece confirming the core allegations of Muddy Waters research re Sino ...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2013/06/vodafone-kabel-deutschland-meet.html?m=0
Bronte Capital: Vodafone - Kabel Deutschland: Meet Vittorio Colao - the new Sir Fred Goodwin
Vodafone it seems has made an " informal bid " for Kabel Deutschland. We have a largish position in Vodafone - some of which we feel compe...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/search?updated-max=2009-07-20T00:09:00%2B10:00&max-results=10&reverse-paginate=true&start=10&by-date=false&m=0
Bronte Capital
The sometimes eccentric views of John Hempton
bronte capital
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/02/diamond-foods-what-press-releases-says.html?showComment=1328757269069&m=0
Bronte Capital: Diamond foods - what the press releases says and does not say...
Diamond Foods is a short-battle-ground stock. Anyone who looks at Herb Greenberg's twitter feed can see that. Herb loves battlegrounds. T...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2017/01/valuation-and-investment-analysis.html?showComment=1484103577389
Bronte Capital: Valuation and investment analysis
I just had a chat with someone who wondered why I did not have a valuation for everything in my portfolio - a buy and a sell price. My rea...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/08/ethics-journalism-web-and-profits-of.html?showComment=1249475469416&m=0
Bronte Capital: Ethics, journalism, the web and the profits of brokerage businesses – oh, and Paul...
Tyler Durden of Zero Hedge has responded to this blog post - and his comments - which I should fairly highlight - are reported at the end. O...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2011/09/some-comments-on-ubs-rogue-trader.html?showComment=1316414728185
Bronte Capital: Some comments on the UBS Rogue Trader
There has been lots said about the rogue trader at UBS. The best gag was that the name for a trader who makes money breaching risk limits i...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2015/10/alibaba-yeah-right-jack.html?showComment=1445022478262&m=0
Bronte Capital: Alibaba - yeah right Jack
Jack Ma - the Founder Chairman of Alibaba - released a letter in response to recent movements in the stock and fears about the Chinese cons...
bronte capitalyeah rightalibabajack
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/08/modelling-fannie-mae-and-freddie-mac_15.html?showComment=1250409684255&m=0
Bronte Capital: Modelling Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac – Part IV
This blog is reprinted on Talking Point Memo. In that format the post is unreadable unless you click the permalink. The tables are too wid...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2017/01/when-do-you-average-down.html?showComment=1483540494595&m=0
Bronte Capital: When do you average down?
The last post explained why I think a full valuation is not a necessary part of the investment process. A decent stock note is 15 pages on ...
bronte capitaldo youaverage down
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/11/hewlett-packard-versus-apple.html?m=0
Bronte Capital: Hewlett Packard versus Apple advertising budget
People did not get my last post. This is more obvious. From the last HP form 10K : Advertising HP expenses advertising costs as in...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/05/question-i-wanted-to-ask-at-berkshire.html?showComment=1336414246774
Bronte Capital: The question I wanted to ask at the Berkshire meeting
I never got to ask a question at the Berkshire meeting. I was a little awed and did not even ask until about 2pm (which was silly). There wa...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/12/trade-total-return-swaps-like-gretchen.html?m=1
Bronte Capital: Trade total return swaps like Gretchen Tai: a follow up on the HP Pension Fund post
In my last post I detailed the very fine performance by Gretchen Tai, the asset manager for the Hewlett Packard defined benefit fund. I w...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2008/09/reckless-irresponsible-seizure-of.html?showComment=1240690140000
Bronte Capital: The reckless, irresponsible seizure of Washington Mutual: please read in Washington...
I lost money on this – so you can take my analysis with the caveat of a slightly angry grain of salt. But I still think the seizure of Washi...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2010/09/travelling-through-china-with-universal.html?showComment=1284602450921
Bronte Capital: Travelling through China with the Universal Travel Group: fly from Beijing to...
I am close friends with the major investor in a small but well placed online travel business. If you ever need a modestly priced hotel in Au...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2013/03/the-end-of-reader-what-does-it-say.html?showComment=1363922315846
Bronte Capital: The end of Reader: what does it say about Google?
The blogosphere is full of people who are livid at the end of Google Reader. I am angry too - and would move many of my Google services if t...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2011/09/repost-my-old-notes-on-northern-rock.html?showComment=1315826603356
Bronte Capital: Repost: My old notes on Northern Rock
This is a post I made fairly early in the history of the blog - and a post I think should have got more attention. (The original post had n...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/search?updated-max=2014-05-07T15:59:00-07:00&max-results=10&reverse-paginate=true
Bronte Capital
The sometimes eccentric views of John Hempton
bronte capital
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2014/06/valeant-pharmaceuticals-part-iv-fact.html
Bronte Capital: Valeant Pharmaceuticals Part IV: Fact based discussions about the reduction of debt
Recent release: Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, Inc. (NYSE: VRX) (TSX: VRX) today announced that it will conduct a fact-based pre...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2016/02/the-amazing-zatarra-research-piece-on.html?showComment=1456325865491
Bronte Capital: The amazing Zatarra Research piece on Wirecard
Zatarra Research - a seemingly anonymous outfit I had never heard of - have put out an amazing report on Wirecard - a reverse merger German ...
bronte capitalthe amazingresearchpiecewirecard
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2011/09/some-comments-on-ubs-rogue-trader.html?showComment=1316403929603
Bronte Capital: Some comments on the UBS Rogue Trader
There has been lots said about the rogue trader at UBS. The best gag was that the name for a trader who makes money breaching risk limits i...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/11/missing-details-bronte-beach-edition.html?showComment=1258318251563
Bronte Capital: The missing details: Bronte Beach edition
Saturday afternoon and I had volunteer lifesaving duty. My (broken) collarbone is knitted enough to be able to go in for a swim in modest s...
bronte capitalthe missingdetailsbeachedition
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2010/03/repo-105s-antecedents-ken-lewis.html?showComment=1269082248476
Bronte Capital: Repo 105’s antecedents: Ken Lewis
I agree with Felix Salmon that the former Lehman staffers who defend Repo 105 are psychopaths – certifiably insane. They state (as if this...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2015/10/alibaba-yeah-right-jack.html?showComment=1444931426300&m=0
Bronte Capital: Alibaba - yeah right Jack
Jack Ma - the Founder Chairman of Alibaba - released a letter in response to recent movements in the stock and fears about the Chinese cons...
bronte capitalyeah rightalibabajack
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2008/08/estimating-losses-for-prime-mortgage.html?showComment=1218493440000
Bronte Capital: Estimating losses for prime mortgage books
I am struggling here with the modelling of prime and conventional mortgage losses. It matters because I am short Magic ( see post ). Bu...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2015/01/herbalife-after-option-expiry-part-ii.html?showComment=1421942392958
Bronte Capital: Herbalife after option expiry - Part II: counting shorts and longs
With Herbalife at $31 then any puts that Ackman has (and we know the prices of them) are in the money so far that their delta is almost one...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2017/01/when-do-you-average-down.html?showComment=1483574992166&m=0
Bronte Capital: When do you average down?
The last post explained why I think a full valuation is not a necessary part of the investment process. A decent stock note is 15 pages on ...
bronte capitaldo youaverage down
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/10/witnessing-assault.html?showComment=1349171720612&m=0
Bronte Capital: Witnessing an assault
Not an investing post at all. Just using the power of a blog with a lot of readers to ensure something gets done and to make a record of wha...
bronte capitalwitnessingassault
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/10/new-rapid-sec.html?showComment=1254348549346&m=0
Bronte Capital: The new rapid SEC
Mary Schapiro has not got great press amongst financial bloggers – however this time she beat me to the punch. Emergent Health Corp was a...
bronte capitalthe newrapidsec
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2013/08/a-quick-thank-you-to-bill-ackman.html?showComment=1376891436182&m=0
Bronte Capital: A quick thank you to Bill Ackman
My visit to a Herbalife club in Queens inspired me. If those guys could lose weight on a protein shake meal replacement diet so could I. ...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2016/10/some-comment-on-twitter-buyout-rumours.html?showComment=1476375404572
Bronte Capital: Some comment on the Twitter buyout rumours
Twitter is wildly addictive. This is well known and there are people who check twitter more obsessively than anyone checked email. Twitter...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/05/question-i-wanted-to-ask-at-berkshire.html?showComment=1336406186435&m=0
Bronte Capital: The question I wanted to ask at the Berkshire meeting
I never got to ask a question at the Berkshire meeting. I was a little awed and did not even ask until about 2pm (which was silly). There wa...
bronte capitalthe questionwanted toaskberkshire
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2016/10/measuring-how-bad-twitter-is.html?showComment=1476356027683&m=0
Bronte Capital: Measuring how bad Twitter is
My last blog post (exposing Twitter's excessive costs) prompted horror story emails on Twitter. But the best thing sent to me was a finan...
bronte capitalmeasuringbadtwitter
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2014/01/xero-and-precious-petals-of-new-zealand.html
Bronte Capital: Xero and the precious petals of New Zealand funds management
I first heard of Xero from a friend, an executive management team member of a US tech giant. [Think a direct report of the CEO of Google, M...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2013/01/notes-on-visiting-herbalife-nutrition.html?showComment=1358270039226
Bronte Capital: Notes on visiting an Herbalife nutrition club in Queens
I visited a Herbalife nutrition club in Queens. There is plenty wrong with this company – but this is not a post about the things that are ...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2011/11/sino-forest-independent-committee.html?showComment=1321464903889
Bronte Capital: The Sino Forest Independent Committee Report part 1.
Sino Forest - a Chinese forestry company listed in Canada - is the subject of the most spectacular fraud allegation of this cycle of Chinese...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2013/04/jcponderings.html?showComment=1365382054827
Bronte Capital: JCPonderings
I do not do links much - let alone non-finance links. However like much of the financial world I am wondering whether Johnson can transform ...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/07/
Bronte Capital: July 2009
The sometimes eccentric views of John Hempton
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/02/bank-solvency-and-geithner-plan.html?showComment=1234804080000
Bronte Capital: Bank solvency and the "Geithner Plan"
Warning – a very long and wonky post - and possibly a little self indulgent. Don’t bother reading it unless you are really interested in ba...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/05/question-i-wanted-to-ask-at-berkshire.html?showComment=1336437576101
Bronte Capital: The question I wanted to ask at the Berkshire meeting
I never got to ask a question at the Berkshire meeting. I was a little awed and did not even ask until about 2pm (which was silly). There wa...
bronte capitalthe questionwanted toaskberkshire
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2011/08/bank-of-america-some-comment-on-buffett.html?showComment=1314550371623&m=0
Bronte Capital: Bank of America: some comment on the Buffett deal
Warren Buffett got a sweetheart deal. The deep discount on Warren Buffett's investment proves Bank of America was desperate. All lines I ...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/02/bank-solvency-and-geithner-plan.html?showComment=1234825260000
Bronte Capital: Bank solvency and the "Geithner Plan"
Warning – a very long and wonky post - and possibly a little self indulgent. Don’t bother reading it unless you are really interested in ba...
bronte capitalbanksolvencygeithnerplan
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2013/08/strange-stock-assessment-from-value.html?showComment=1376368147480
Bronte Capital: Strange stock assessment from a value investor I kind of admire: a note on the...
In my email today I received a missive from a value investor I kind of admire - a peon to the value in Apple shares. To quote: My mother-...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2017/05/selling-our-telecom-position.html?showComment=1494440133903
Bronte Capital: Selling our Telecom position
Several people on twitter and some in person have asked me for an update on my very bullish position on Verizon - especially since the resul...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/01/tesco-request-for-comments.html?showComment=1326416713964&m=0
Bronte Capital: Tesco - request for comments
The number of problem long investments in my portfolio doubled overnight - from one to two. (We have some small problem longs and some large...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2013/03/vodafone-news-of-day.html
Bronte Capital: Vodafone news of the day
Reuters today have a piece out on the Vodafone-Verizon issue. To quote: By Kate Holton, Chris Vellacott and Sinead Carew (Reuters) - ...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2011/06/helping-charles-li-find-weeds-in-his.html?showComment=1309535098966
Bronte Capital: Helping Charles Li find the weeds in his Hong Kong garden
Charles Li, the CEO of the Hong Kong stock exchange, has been on CNBC and again at home telling the world that the scandals happening with C...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2015/10/some-comments-on-valeant-conference-call.html?showComment=1446086285870
Bronte Capital: Some comments on the Valeant conference call
Background: Roddy Boyd wrote a fine article about Philidor - a speciality pharmacy tied to Valeant. You can find the article here . Some o...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2013/01/bill-ackman-either-lacks-imagination-or.html?showComment=1357784626110
Bronte Capital: Bill Ackman either lacks imagination or has a touching faith in government
There is a wonderful Bloomberg story today about the more-to-come in the Bill Ackman vs Herbalife saga. There is however one quote in the...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2011/03/french-intelligence-on-libya.html?m=1
Bronte Capital: French intelligence on Libya
The Libyan National Oil Company website - like the internet in Libya generally - is down. Below I have copied a section ( from the Google ...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2013/04/gulf-keystone-share-transfer.html?showComment=1366782133885&m=0
Bronte Capital: Gulf Keystone share transfer
First - a recent release from Gulf Keystone Petroleum concerning the CEO - Mr Todd F Kozel disposing of 10 million shares - the bulk of hi...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2013/11/did-someone-tweet-at-top.html?showComment=1383963206228
Bronte Capital: Does someone Tweet at the top?
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/08/health-care-reform-and-single-payer.html?showComment=1251036234126&m=0
Bronte Capital: Health Care Reform and single payer – an Australian perspective
I write a financial blog which is republished on the largely political Talking Points Memo. I thought I better write something for both my ...
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https://shareholdersunite.com/2009/11/05/bronte-capital-throws-in-the-hat/
Bronte Capital throws in the hat – shareholdersunite.com
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2015/10/valeant-and-its-captive-pharmacies-some.html?showComment=1445792355949
Bronte Capital: Valeant and its captive pharmacies: some questions
Some Questions for State Attorneys General and Boards of Pharmacy Is a pharmaceutical manufacturer allowed to own or effectively control ...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2015/07/sirius-minerals-financing-will-be.html?showComment=1435835695976
Bronte Capital: Sirius Minerals: Financing will be a serious challenge
Sirius Minerals has just received approval for their polyhalite (potash) mine under the North York Moors National Park. The stock was up...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/07/weekend-edition-car-dealers.html?showComment=1343935707685
Bronte Capital: Weekend edition: Car Dealers
I am a hedge fund manager who trades in marketable securities only. I look at a quote in a market - take it or leave it. I have developed ...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2008/07/?m=0
Bronte Capital: July 2008
The sometimes eccentric views of John Hempton
bronte capitaljuly
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/01/tesco-request-for-comments.html?m=1
Bronte Capital: Tesco - request for comments
The number of problem long investments in my portfolio doubled overnight - from one to two. (We have some small problem longs and some large...
request for commentsbronte capitaltesco
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/11/fannie-maes-results-oh-and-what-if-bank.html?showComment=1257487844410
Bronte Capital: Fannie Mae’s results – oh, and what if Bank of America reported the same way…
There have been some mathematical corrections to this post discussed in the comments. My pencil notes had the numbers right. By the time ...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2011/08/software-eats-part-of-world.html?showComment=1314195563674
Bronte Capital: Software eats part of the world
Marc Andreessen's WSJ article about software eating the world caused debate amongst my colleagues at Bronte Capital. It's a view that info...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/12/bill-ackman-enters-city-of-stalingrad.html?showComment=1357207097605
Bronte Capital: Bill Ackman enters the city of Stalingrad
A few days ago I wrote a post describing shorting multi-level marketing schemes as akin to the Battle of Stalingrad. Little did I know ...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2011/02/china-media-express-what-disconcerted.html?showComment=1297039756232
Bronte Capital: China Media Express: what disconcerted me when I read the accounts
China Media Express is a tiny company about which there is – as I have noted – major passion and drama on Wall Street. My last post indic...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/04/fraudulent-hedge-fund-associated-with.html?showComment=1241401200000
Bronte Capital: Alleged fraudulent hedge fund associated with the Vice President’s family harasses...
I wrote a post about Ponta Negra – a hedge fund that I thought was more likely than not to be fraudulent. I did not name Ponta Negra in the...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2010/08/deregulation-conundrum.html?showComment=1282960239397
Bronte Capital: A deregulation conundrum
I have just read Daniel Amman’s excellent biography of Marc Rich - the oil trader notoriously pardoned by Bill Clinton. I don’t want to ge...
bronte capitalderegulationconundrum
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/10/are-spanish-banks-hiding-their-losses.html?showComment=1254874546075&m=0
Bronte Capital: Are the Spanish banks hiding their losses? Looking at the American data
Whether the Spanish banks are hiding their losses is a major debate going on in the blogosphere and has been detailed at length in the Fina...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/01/tesco-request-for-comments.html?showComment=1326435074174&m=0
Bronte Capital: Tesco - request for comments
The number of problem long investments in my portfolio doubled overnight - from one to two. (We have some small problem longs and some large...
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https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2012/07/changing-my-mind-on-microsoft.html?showComment=1343319310150
Bronte Capital: Changing my mind on Microsoft
Seldom have I looked at something that is a major long in the portfolio, changed my mind, sold the entire position and continued selling to ...
bronte capitalmy mindchangingmicrosoft
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2015/10/some-comments-on-valeant-conference-call.html?showComment=1446247021468&m=0
Bronte Capital: Some comments on the Valeant conference call
Background: Roddy Boyd wrote a fine article about Philidor - a speciality pharmacy tied to Valeant. You can find the article here . Some o...
bronte capitalconference callcommentsvaleant
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2017/05/trexs-mysteriously-high-margin-business.html?showComment=1494070573505
Bronte Capital: Trex's mysteriously high margin: a business analysis problem for you...
Apple is a definitively high margin manufacturer. Everything about that company screams high margin. The stuff feels expensive and (frankly...
bronte capitalbusiness analysisfor youtrexmysteriously
https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2014/02/i-am-out-of-tune-with-these-times.html?showComment=1392986504496
Bronte Capital: I am out of tune with these times
At core I am an old-fashioned value investor. Maybe a growth-orientated one - but the valuation has to make sense on fairly modest assumptio...
out of tunebronte capitalthese times