https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2006/10/guesstimates-on-october-19-850-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on October 19, 8:50 am ET
carl futiaoctoberet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2025/06/
Carl Futia: June 2025
carl futiajune
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2012/12/guesstimates-on-december-11-2012.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on December 11, 2012
carl futiadecember
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/10/guesstimates-on-october-26-850-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on October 26, 8:50 am ET
carl futiaoctoberet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/06/interest-rates.html
Carl Futia: Interest Rates
In this morning's New York Times there is an above the fold, front page article about interest rates. It's headed : "Rising Rates Start to...
carl futiainterestrates
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2006/10/sears-holdings.html
Carl Futia: Sears Holdings
Here is a highly condensed daily bar chart of Sears Holdings. I last commented on SHLD here . The market is within 10 points of my 181 targe...
carl futiasearsholdings
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/06/s-spiders-and-qqqqs_15.html
Carl Futia: S&P's, Spiders, and QQQQ's
carl futias pspidersqqqq
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/11/guesstimates-on-november-7-850-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on November 7, 8:50 am ET
carl futianovemberet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2025/02/guesstimates-on-february-12-2025.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on February 12, 2025
carl futiafebruary
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/07/late-stock-market-update.html?showComment=1185926160000
Carl Futia: Late Stock Market Update
carl futiastock marketlateupdate
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/02/shorted-second-unit-at-81425.html
Carl Futia: Shorted second unit at 814.25
carl futiasecond unit
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/09/bonds-and-notes_13.html
Carl Futia: Bonds and Notes
Here are updated hourly charts showing pit trading in the December t-bond futures and the 10 year note futures. I think the bonds are headed...
carl futiabondsnotes
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/06/s-spiders-and-qqqqs_06.html
Carl Futia: S&P's, Spiders, and QQQQ's
carl futias pspidersqqqq
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/04/tomorrow_29.html
Carl Futia: Tomorrow
The reaction from today's high proved to be bigger than the 8-12 point break I had expected. Nonetheless, I think tomorrow will be another b...
carl futiatomorrow
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/06/s-spiders-and-qqqqs_21.html
Carl Futia: S&P's, Spiders, and QQQQ's
carl futias pspidersqqqq
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2006/11/
Carl Futia: November 2006
carl futianovember
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/03/short-one-unit-at-78900.html
Carl Futia: Short one unit at 789.00
carl futiaone unitshort
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2006/08/
Carl Futia: August 2006
carl futiaaugust
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2008/10/away-from-my-office.html
Carl Futia: Away From My Office
Folks: Personal business will take me away from my office for the rest of today and all of tomorrow. No guesstimate tomorrow. I shall resum...
carl futiaawayoffice
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2012/03/guesstimates-on-march-9-2012.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on March 9, 2012
carl futiamarch
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/08/consolidation.html?showComment=1251233494600
Carl Futia: Consolidation
Here is a 60 minute bar chart of day session e-mini trading. I think the past two days' activity is part of a brief consolidation that will ...
carl futiaconsolidation
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/02/am-i-crazy-or-what.html
Carl Futia: Am I Crazy - or What?
In my last post I said that my plan B was the hypothesis that support in the 763-65 range would hold. Then the market dropped as low as 760....
carl futiacrazy
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/06/google.html
Carl Futia: Google
I expected Google to hold support at 277 but instead the market broke nearly to 270 this morning. I think this is simply a normal reaction i...
carl futiagoogle
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/06/
Carl Futia: June 2005
carl futiajune
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/03/4-pm-update.html
Carl Futia: 4 pm Update
Here is a five minute bar chart of today's e-mini trading. I have drawn a blue rectangle to represent my estimate of tomorrow's daytime tra...
carl futiapmupdate
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2018/05/guesstimates-on-may-14-2018.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on May 14, 2018
carl futiamay
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/08/long-second-unit-at-100350.html
Carl Futia: Long second unit at 1003.50
carl futiasecond unitlong
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/07/buyout-stocks.html?showComment=1184948220000
Carl Futia: Buyout Stocks
Here are daily bar charts of two of the companies whose principal activites are fueling the private equity buyout boom which has fueled the ...
carl futiabuyoutstocks
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2011/12/guesstimates-on-december-23-2011.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on December 23, 2011
carl futiadecember
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/11/guesstimates-on-november-16-825-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on November 16, 8:25 am ET
carl futianovemberet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/07/death-of-bull-market.html?showComment=1185550920000
Carl Futia: Death of the Bull Market ?
carl futiadeath ofthe bullmarket
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/06/guesstimates-on-june-23-830-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on June 23, 8:30 am ET
carl futiajuneet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2006/08/chicago-merchantile-exchange.html
Carl Futia: Chicago Merchantile Exchange
Here is a daily chart of the Chicago Merchantile Exchange. I last commented on this stock here . I still think CME has more on the upside in...
carl futiachicagoexchange
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2008/10/added-second-unit.html
Carl Futia: Added Second Unit
I just bought a second unit of the e-minis at 1140. Now I am long two units at an average of 1138.50.
carl futiaaddedsecondunit
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/03/update-at-130-pm_13.html
Carl Futia: Update at 1:30 pm
Here is the five minute bar chart for today's e-mini day session. I am working with a range estimate of 740-765 (blue rectangle). I bought...
carl futiaupdatepm
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2017/12/guesstimates-on-december-13-2017.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on December 13, 2017
carl futiadecember
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/02/guesstimates-on-february-11-2009.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on February 11, 2009
carl futiafebruary
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2010/01/long-one-unit-at-110150.html
Carl Futia: Long one unit at 1101.50
carl futiaone unitlong
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2006/08/guesstimates-on-august-14-850-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on August 14, 8:50 am ET
carl futiaaugustet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2008/08/guesstimates-on-august-4-815-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on August 4, 8:15 am ET
carl futiaaugustet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2012/03/guesstimates-on-march-16-2012.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on March 16, 2012
carl futiamarch
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/03/guesstimates-on-march-18-2009.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on March 18, 2009
carl futiamarch
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/03/tomorrows-range_31.html
Carl Futia: Tomorrow's Range
Here is a five minute bar chart of today's e-mini action. I think the market just put in a selling climax (red arrows) at midpoint support (...
carl futiatomorrowrange
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/03/blog-trading-record.html
Carl Futia: Blog Trading Record
I thought it would be helpful to post the month by month performance summary of all the e-mini trades I have posted on this blog. Every tra...
carl futiablogtradingrecord
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2006/10/oil-service-holdrs.html
Carl Futia: Oil Service Holdrs
Here is a daily chart of the Oil Service HOLDRs traded on the American Stock Exchange. The price of these depository receipts are highly cor...
carl futiaoil service
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2008/07/
Carl Futia: July 2008
carl futiajuly
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/08/are-americans-sour-about-everything.html
Carl Futia: Are Americans "Sour" About Everything?
Kevin Hassett thinks so! Take a look at his latest column on Bloomberg . This is a commentator who sees what I see. Public sentiment is sti...
carl futiaamericanssoureverything
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2025/02/guesstimates-on-february-28-2025.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on February 28, 2025
carl futiafebruary
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/07/guesstimates-on-july-1-845-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on July 1, 8:45 am ET
carl futiajulyet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/08/update_13.html
Carl Futia: Update
Here is a 60 minute bar chart of day session e-mini trading and above it a five minute bar chart. I bought one unit five minutes before the ...
carl futiaupdate
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2012/12/guesstimates-on-december20-2012.html?showComment=1356056568150
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on December20, 2012
carl futia
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/08/sold-long-unit-at-102500.html
Carl Futia: sold long unit at 1025.00
carl futiasoldlongunit
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2006/10/sp_27.html
Carl Futia: S&P
carl futiap
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/08/long-one-unit-at-100325.html
Carl Futia: Long one unit at 1003.25
carl futiaone unitlong
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/08/guesstimates-on-august-24-840-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on August 24, 8:40 am ET
carl futiaaugustet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2010/11/bond-frenzy-redux.html
Carl Futia: bond frenzy redux
Here is my latest post on " The Art of Contrarian Trading ".
carl futiabondfrenzyredux
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2013/11/
Carl Futia: November 2013
carl futianovember
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2006/10/sp-note_18.html
Carl Futia: S&P Note
carl futias pnote
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2021/10/guesstimates-on-october-1-2021.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on October 1, 2021
carl futiaoctober
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2008/10/out_31.html
Carl Futia: Out
I just sold my 2 unit long position at 980.
carl futia
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/07/guesstimates-on-july-14-850-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on July 14, 8:50 am ET
carl futiajulyet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/03/todays-range_20.html
Carl Futia: Today's range
Here is a five minute bar chart of the last two e-mini day sessions. My range estimate for today is still 772-800 (blue rectangle). A drop ...
carl futiatodayrange
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2006/08/guesstimates-on-august-2-850-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on August 2, 8:50 am ET
carl futiaaugustet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/11/gold_04.html
Carl Futia: Gold
Here is and hourly chart of pit and electronic trading in December gold futures. The market has broken below 461 support but so far has stop...
carl futiagold
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/08/sold-one-unit-at-102800-still-long-one.html
Carl Futia: sold one unit at 1028.00 - still long one
carl futiaone unitsoldstilllong
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/06/guesstimates-on-june-20-900-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on June 20, 9:00 am ET
carl futiajuneet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/11/chicago-merchantile-exchange.html
Carl Futia: Chicago Merchantile Exchange A
You can find my previous posts on CME here , here , here and here . Above you will see an updated daily chart. CME is getting closer to...
carl futiachicagoexchange
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2018/05/guesstimates-on-may-10-2018.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on May 10, 2018
carl futiamay
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2012/03/guesstimates-on-march-23-2012.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on March 23, 2012
carl futiamarch
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2021/12/guesstimates-on-december-29-2021.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on December 29, 2021
carl futiadecember
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/08/stock-market-surprise.html
Carl Futia: Stock Market Surprise
Take a look at this column by Chet Currier on Bloomberg. He asserts that the biggest possible surprise to most people right now would be a ...
carl futiastock marketsurprise
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2012/03/guesstimates-on-march-21-2012.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on March 21, 2012
carl futiamarch
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/08/sp_30.html
Carl Futia: S&P
carl futiap
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/11/comment-on-comments.html?showComment=1195673100000
Carl Futia: Comment on Comments
If you look carefully you will discover that every time the stock market tanks the number of comments posted to this blog increases sharply....
carl futiacomment
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/09/rydex-cash-flows.html
Carl Futia: Rydex Cash Flows
Below this post you will find updated charts of the Rydex Cash Flow ratio and the flow of cash into Rydex bear funds courtesy of Decisionp...
carl futiacashflows
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/02/wave-chart-at-1230-pm.html
Carl Futia: Wave chart at 12:30 pm
Here is today's e-mini wave chart at 12:30 pm. I thought that support near 830 would hold, but instead the market put in a longer down wave...
carl futiawave chartpm
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2012/12/update.html
Carl Futia: update
carl futiaupdate
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/04/long-second-unit-at-84550.html
Carl Futia: Long second unit at 845.50
carl futiasecond unitlong
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2012/06/guesstimates-on-june-18-2012.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on June 18, 2012
carl futiajune
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2006/08/gold.html
Carl Futia: Gold
Here is an hourly chart showing pit and electronic trading in December gold futures . I am switching to the December contract from the Augus...
carl futiagold
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2012/12/guesstimates-on-december20-2012.html?showComment=1356014048516
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on December20, 2012
carl futia
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/06/bonds-and-notes_24.html
Carl Futia: Bonds and Notes
It now appears that the bonds and notes won't reach the targets I cited in this morning's guesstimate. The hourly chart of the bonds shows...
carl futiabondsnotes
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2008/10/encouraging-day.html
Carl Futia: An Encouraging Day
It looks like we are seeing the kind of "no news" rally that I mentioned two weeks ago in this post . It appears to have started from the Oc...
carl futiaencouragingday
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/06/headed-up.html
Carl Futia: Headed Up?
carl futiaheaded
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2009/08/sold-both-long-units-at-99475.html
Carl Futia: sold both long units at 994.75
carl futiasoldlongunits
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/11/oil-and-stock-market.html
Carl Futia: Oil and the Stock Market
Here is a link to Mark Hulbert's latest piece on MarketWatch.com. Hulbert makes the following thought- provoking observation, one that is n...
carl futiaand theoilstockmarket
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/04/story-of-google.html
Carl Futia: The Story of Google
Google had its IPO (initial public offering of its stock to the public) on August 18,2004 and began trading on the Nasdaq on August 19. The ...
the story ofcarl futiagoogle
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2010/01/in-case-you-missed-it.html
Carl Futia: In case you missed it
Here is my latest post on " The Art of Contrarian Trading ".
in case you missedcarl futia
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/07/guesstimates-on-july-28-850-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on July 28, 8:50 am ET
carl futiajulyet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2006/08/sp.html
Carl Futia: S&P
carl futiap
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/08/has-it-started.html
Carl Futia: Has It Started ?
As you know I am expecting a big move upward in bond and note prices over the next few months. I think the T-bond futures will make it into ...
carl futiastarted
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/06/s-spiders-and-qqqqs_22.html
Carl Futia: S&P's, Spiders, and QQQQ's
carl futias pspidersqqqq
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/07/late-stock-market-update.html?showComment=1185932880000
Carl Futia: Late Stock Market Update
carl futiastock marketlateupdate
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2026/04/guesstimates-on-april-16-2026.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on April 16, 2026
carl futiaapril
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/07/death-of-bull-market.html?showComment=1185563520000
Carl Futia: Death of the Bull Market ?
carl futiadeath ofthe bullmarket
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/06/george-lindsay-posts.html
Carl Futia: George Lindsay Posts
George Lindsay was a Forecasting Giant of the Past . In 2011 Ed Carlson published an excellent book on Lindsay's methods, including an ext...
carl futiageorgelindsayposts
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/06/crude-oil_27.html
Carl Futia: Crude Oil
The hourly chart of August West Texas crude oil above shows the short term boxes for the trend up from the May 20 low. The market has just h...
carl futiacrudeoil
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2010/09/update_30.html
Carl Futia: Update
Here is a 60 minute bar chart of 24 hour e-mini trading. I last commented on this chart here . The ES rally this morning in reponse to the e...
carl futiaupdate
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/08/guesstimates-on-august-11-845-am-et.html
Carl Futia: Guesstimates on August 11, 8:45 am ET
carl futiaaugustet
https://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2007/01/sps-spiders-and-qqqqs_30.html
Carl Futia: S&P's, Spiders, and QQQQ's
carl futias pspidersqqqq