https://ideas.repec.org/p/osf/socarx/d5yx2_v1.html
Political prediction markets have exploded in size and influence, moving billions of dollars and shaping how journalists, donors, and voters interpret...
prediction marketsaccuracyefficiencybillion
https://robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets/elections/events/general-election-for-new-york-city-mayor-november-4-2025-nov-04-2025/
Who will win the New York City mayoral general election in 2025? Get paid $1 per contract when your prediction is correct, or $0 if not.
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https://newrepublic.com/article/105584/national-polling-averages-tilt-toward-romney
The polling average is the essential tool for gauging the state of the race. It's remarkably simple and has an excellent record of performing in crunch time....
perilspollingaveragebasicelection
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/scottish-labour-chief-insists-can-36516666
Jan 8, 2026 - Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar has insisted he can win 'in defiance' of Keir Starmer's national polling - and urged cabinet members to stay...
scottish labourelection predictionchiefmakesbold
https://www.casino.org/news/kalshi-us-election-case-fast-tracked-as-trump-gains-edge-in-prediction-markets/
CFTC case against Kalshi over Presidential election betting fast tracked by federal court as Donald Trump gains lead in markets.
us electionkalshicasefasttrump