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https://iclnd.investingchannel.com/nl/calculatedrisk/ Calculated Risk Newsletter calculated risk newsletter https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/12/tax-proposal-update-on-senate-vote.html Calculated Risk: Tax Proposal: Update on Senate Vote From the WSJ: Tax Deal Set to Pass Senate Three Senate aides said the tax package appeared likely to attract at least 65 to 70 supporters ... calculated risk tax proposal update senate https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/08/la-ports-imports-up-exports-down-in-july.html Calculated Risk: LA Ports: Imports Up, Exports Down in July Container traffic gives us an idea about the volume of goods being exported and imported - and usually some hints about the trade report si... calculated risk ports july https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/10/qe1-timeline.html Calculated Risk: A QE1 Timeline Note: Here is the weekly schedule for Oct 3rd , and the summary for last week . QE2 will probably arrive on November 3rd. By request here ... calculated risk timeline https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/02/fdic-bank-failure-update.html Calculated Risk: FDIC Bank Failure Update There have been 188 bank failures in this cycle (starting in 2007): FDIC Bank Failures by Year 2007 3 2008 25 2009 140 2010 20 Total 188 C... calculated risk bank failure fdic update https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2007/02/investment-lags.html Calculated Risk: Investment Lags By how many quarters does Non-residential Investment lag Residential Investment? There are two components of non-residential investment: 1) ... calculated risk investment lags https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2013/12/question-6-for-2014-how-much-will.html Calculated Risk: Question #6 for 2014: How much will Residential Investment increase? Earlier I posted some questions for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2014 . I'll try to add some thoughts, and maybe some predictions f... calculated risk https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/05/case-shiller-house-prices-weakening.html Calculated Risk: Case-Shiller House Prices "Weakening" calculated risk house prices case https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2026/01/comments-on-december-employment-report.html Calculated Risk: Comments on December Employment Report The headline jobs number in the December employment report was slightly below expectations, however October and November were revised down b... calculated risk comments december employment report https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2018/05/philly-fed-state-coincident-indexes.html Calculated Risk: Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 45 states in April From the Philly Fed : The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the coincident indexes for the 50 states for April 2018. Over ... calculated risk https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2012/09/existing-home-sales-inventory-and-nsa.html Calculated Risk: Existing Home Sales: Inventory and NSA Sales Graph A few comments on existing home sales and inventory ... This was a decent report, not because sales increased, but because of the level of... existing home sales calculated risk inventory nsa graph https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/02/ny-fed-manufacturing-conditions-improve.html Calculated Risk: NY Fed: Manufacturing Conditions Improve in February The headline number showed improvement, but two key numbers to watch are new orders and inventories. The new order index fell, and the inven... calculated risk ny fed manufacturing conditions https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2012/01/vehicle-miles-driven-decline-possible.html Calculated Risk: Vehicle Miles Driven Decline: A possible contributing factor Earlier this week I noted that vehicle miles driven had declined in October . Most of the decline is probably due to high gasoline prices a... calculated risk vehicle miles driven decline https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2008/03/financial-crisis-third-wave-still.html Calculated Risk: Financial Crisis: Third Wave Still Growing Here are two charts to track the progress of the Fed's recent liquidity initiatives. The first is the TED Spread from Bloomberg : For more o... calculated risk financial crisis third wave still growing https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2011/06/unofficial-problem-bank-list-at-996.html Calculated Risk: Unofficial Problem Bank list at 996 Institutions Note: this is an unofficial list of Problem Banks compiled only from public sources. Here is the unofficial problem bank list for June 1... problem bank list calculated risk unofficial institutions https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/07/double-dip-search-trends.html Calculated Risk: Double Dip Search Trends From Google Trends, search trend on " double dip "... It appears the 2nd half slowdown is here, but I think the U.S. will avoid a technical... calculated risk double dip search trends https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2014/02/weekly-initial-unemployment-claims_20.html Calculated Risk: Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 336,000 The DOL reports : In the week ending February 15, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 336,000, a decrease of 3,0... calculated risk unemployment claims weekly initial decrease https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2014/06/mortgage-equity-withdrawal-still.html Calculated Risk: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Still Negative in Q1 2014 Note: This is not Mortgage Equity Withdrawal (MEW) data from the Fed. The last MEW data from Fed economist Dr. Kennedy was for Q4 2008. ... mortgage equity withdrawal calculated risk still negative https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2015/01/hotels-strong-finish-to-2014-best-year.html Calculated Risk: Hotels: Strong Finish to 2014, Best Year since 2000 From HotelNewsNow.com: STR: US results for week ending 27 December The U.S. hotel industry recorded mostly positive results in the three k... calculated risk hotels strong finish https://www.horebinternational.com/calculated-risk-or-dangerous-gamble/ Calculated Risk or Dangerous Gamble? | Horeb International calculated risk dangerous gamble horeb international https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2013/05/reports-small-business-credit-improving.html Calculated Risk: Reports: Small Business Credit Improving From J.D. Harrison at the WaPo: Small business lending freeze starting to thaw The credit health of small companies across the country imp... small business credit calculated risk reports improving https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2023/06/q2-gdp-tracking-around-1-to-2.html?m=0 Calculated Risk: Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 1% to 2% From BofA: Overall, the data pushed up our 1Q GDP tracking estimate three-tenths to 1.9% q/q saar and our 2Q GDP tracking moved up a tenth t... calculated risk gdp tracking around https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009_11_01_archive.html Calculated Risk: November 2009 Finance and Economics calculated risk november https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/12/new-home-sales-decrease-sharply-in.html Calculated Risk: New Home Sales Decrease Sharply in November The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in November were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 355 thousand. This is a sharp decr... new home sales calculated risk decrease november https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/02/tarp-visualized.html Calculated Risk: The TARP Visualized This is making the rounds. Enjoy... (hat tip Nick in Kyoto, original source unknown) Edit: Yes, the last couple are obviously fake. More on... calculated risk tarp visualized https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/09/fed-household-net-worth-off-122.html Calculated Risk: Fed: Household Net Worth Off $12.2 Trillion From Peak The Fed released the Q2 2009 Flow of Funds report today: Flow of Funds . According to the Fed, household net worth is now off $12.2 Trillion... calculated risk net worth https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2024/09/september-13th-covid-update-wastewater.html Calculated Risk: September 13th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Still High Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. For deaths, I'm currently using 4 weeks ago for "now... calculated risk covid update september wastewater measure https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2017/07/tuesday-job-openings.html Calculated Risk: Tuesday: Job Openings From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Little-Changed Near Recent Highs Mortgage rates improved somewhat today, on ave... calculated risk tuesday job openings https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/04/bls-job-openings-decreased-to-76.html Calculated Risk: BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 7.6 million in February From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings was little changed at 7.6 million in February , the U.S. ... calculated risk job openings https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2021/07/housing-inventory-july-12th-update.html?m=1 Calculated Risk: Housing Inventory July 12th Update: Inventory Unchanged Week-over-week, Up 22%... Tracking existing home inventory will be very important this year . Click on graph for larger image in graph gallery. This inventory gra... calculated risk housing inventory https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2022/12/q3-update-delinquencies-foreclosures.html Calculated Risk: Q3 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Q3 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO A brief excerpt: Last year, I pointed ... calculated risk update foreclosures reo https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/05/gross-domestic-income-shows-more.html Calculated Risk: Gross Domestic Income shows more sluggish recovery Most of the revisions in the "Second Estimate" GDP report this morning were small; the headline GDP number was revised down to 3.0% from 3.... calculated risk gross domestic income shows https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2008/03/durable-goods-orders-decline.html Calculated Risk: Durable Goods Orders Decline From Rex Nutting at MarketWatch: Demand for durable goods falls 1.7% in Feb. Demand for machinery and other capital goods sank in February,... calculated risk durable goods orders decline https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2008/09/stiglitz-whats-our-economy-based-on.html Calculated Risk: Stiglitz: What's our economy based on? Professor Stiglitz writes in the New Republic: Falling Down . (hat tip Justin) Stiglitz makes several thought provoking arguments. He point... calculated risk our economy stiglitz based https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2021/06/a-few-comments-on-may-new-home-sales.html Calculated Risk: A few Comments on May New Home Sales New home sales for May were reported at 769,000 on a seasonally adjusted annual rate basis (SAAR). Sales for the previous three months were ... calculated risk new home comments may sales https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/12/weekly-initial-unemployment-claims_17.html Calculated Risk: Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims The DOL reports on weekly unemployment insurance claims : In the week ending Dec. 12, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial cla... calculated risk weekly initial unemployment claims https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2012/04/upward-slope-of-real-house-prices.html Calculated Risk: The upward slope of Real House Prices A year ago, Dave Altig asked Just how out of line are house prices? . Dr. Altig's post featured both a price-to-rent graph and a real house... calculated risk upward slope real house https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2008/05/fdics-bair-housing-crisis-is-national.html Calculated Risk: FDIC's Bair: Housing crisis is a national problem FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair at the Brookings Institution Forum, The Great Credit Squeeze: How it Happened, How to Prevent Another [W]e have s... calculated risk housing crisis fdic bair https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2020/09/september-15-covid-19-test-results.html Calculated Risk: September 15 COVID-19 Test Results The US is now mostly reporting over 700,000 tests per day. Based on the experience of other countries, the percent positive needs to be we... calculated risk september covid test results https://www.wirz-partners.ch/en/w-perspective/the-strategic-edge-of-calculated-risk-in-talent-acquisition The Strategic Edge of Calculated Risk in Talent Acquisition Discover how embracing the "80% Fit" in executive search can drive innovation and business growth and learn strategies for balancing risks and winning... strategic edge calculated risk talent acquisition https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2014/04/employment-preview-for-march.html Calculated Risk: Employment Preview for March Friday at 8:30 AM ET, the BLS will release the employment report for March. The consensus, according to Bloomberg, is for an increase of 20... calculated risk employment preview march https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2008/12/retail-space-to-be-vacated.html Calculated Risk: Retail Space to be Vacated Back in October, the WSJ reported that mall vacancy rates increase sharply in Q3: For strip centers and other open-air shopping venues, the... calculated risk retail space to be vacated https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2019/06/corelogic-22-million-homes-with.html Calculated Risk: CoreLogic: 2.2 Million Homes with Negative Equity in Q1 2019 From CoreLogic: Homeowner Equity Insights, 1st Quarter 2019 In the first quarter 2019, the total number of mortgaged residential properti... calculated risk https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2017/12/key-measures-show-inflation-mostly.html Calculated Risk: Key Measures Show Inflation Mostly Below Fed's Target The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI this morning: According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the ... calculated risk key measures show https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2007/06/bong-hits-4-bear.html Calculated Risk: BONG HiTS 4 BEAR* Gretchen Morgenson on the Everquest IPO. Being the vicious nasty blogger with no redeeming social qualities that I am, I must take the oppo... calculated risk bong hits bear https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2022/07/second-home-market-south-lake-tahoe-in.html Calculated Risk: Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in June With the pandemic, there was a surge in 2nd home buying. I'm looking at data for some second home markets - and I'm tracking those markets... south lake tahoe calculated risk second home market june https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2022/06/weekly-initial-unemployment-claims-at.html Calculated Risk: Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 229,000 The DOL reported : In the week ending June 11, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 229,000 , a decrease of 3,000... calculated risk unemployment claims weekly initial https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2023/12/ten-economic-questions-for-2024.html Calculated Risk: Ten Economic Questions for 2024 Here is a review of the Ten Economic Questions for 2023 Below are my ten questions for 2024 (I've been doing this online every year for al... calculated risk ten economic questions https://www.chortle.co.uk/shows/edinburgh_fringe_2010/c/18390/_calculated_risk Calculated Risk : Chortle : The UK Comedy Guide Calculated Risk - Edinburgh Fringe 2010 calculated risk the uk chortle comedy guide https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2007/12/fitch-places-173022-issues-on-rating.html Calculated Risk: Fitch Places 173,022 Issues on Rating Watch Negative Press Release: Fitch Places 173,022 MBIA-Insured Issues on Rating Watch Negative (hat tip Mike) Concurrent with its related rating announce... calculated risk fitch places https://livingwithscleroderma.com/calculated-risk/ Calculated Risk - Living with Scleroderma Dec 8, 2020 - Anticipating my first Boston Medical appointment, in person, in about a year. What are the risks during the surging pandemic? calculated risk living with scleroderma https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2017/02/peak-renter.html Calculated Risk: Peak Renter It was six years ago that we started discussing the turnaround for apartments. Then, in January 2011, I attended the NMHC Apartment Stra... calculated risk peak renter https://truesport.org/decision-making/caregivers-encourage-calculated-risk/ How Caregivers Can Encourage Growth with Calculated Risk Taking Apr 30, 2026 - TrueSport Expert, Deborah Gilboa, MD, explains that most caregivers are far too risk-adverse and as a result, our athletes actively avoid risk. calculated risk caregivers encourage growth taking https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2017/12/hotel-occupancy-rate-increased-year_24.html Calculated Risk: Hotel Occupancy Rate Increased Year-over-Year, 2017 will be Record Occupancy Year From HotelNewsNow.com: STR: US hotel results for week ending 16 December The U.S. hotel industry reported positive year-over-year results ... calculated risk https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/01/roubini-two-year-recession.html Calculated Risk: Roubini: Two Year Recession From Rex Nutting at MarketWatch: Roubini forecasts recession will last 2 years The U.S. recession will last two full years, with gross dome... calculated risk two year recession https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2017/10/bls-job-openings-decreased-slightly-in.html Calculated Risk: BLS: Job Openings Decreased Slightly in August From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings was little changed at 6.1 million on the last business d... calculated risk job openings bls decreased slightly https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/p/advertising.html Calculated Risk: Advertising Thank you for your interest in advertising on CalculatedRiskBlog. The site has approximately 200,000+ unique visitors per month with over 2,... calculated risk advertising https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/05/feeling-like-foolish-child.html Calculated Risk: "Feeling like a foolish child" I received so many positive emails after posting this Friday night; here it is again for those who missed it. Singer-songwriter Tim Miller ... calculated risk feeling like foolish child https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2022/06/bls-ppi-increased-08-in-may-core-ppi.html Calculated Risk: BLS: PPI increased 0.8% in May; Core PPI increased 0.5% From the BLS : The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.8 percent in May , seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Stat... calculated risk in may bls ppi increased https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2022/09/pace-of-rent-increases-continues-to-slow.html Calculated Risk: Pace of Rent Increases Continues to Slow Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Pace of Rent Increases Continues to Slow A brief excerpt: Here is a graph of the year... calculated risk rent increases pace continues slow https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2024/02/early-gdp-tracking-solid-start-for-q1.html Calculated Risk: Early GDP Tracking: Solid Start for Q1 From Goldman: We left our Q1 GDP tracking estimate unchanged on net at +2.8% (qoq ar) and our Q1 domestic final sales estimate also unchang... calculated risk solid start early gdp tracking https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2019/01/fomc-statementno-change-to-policy.html Calculated Risk: FOMC Statement: No Change to Policy Powell press conference video here . FOMC Statement: Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December indic... calculated risk no change fomc statement policy https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2012/11/real-house-prices-price-to-rent-ratio.html Calculated Risk: Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio Case-Shiller, CoreLogic and others report nominal house prices, and it is also useful to look at house prices in real terms (adjusted for in... calculated risk house prices to rent real ratio https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/11/bank-failure-143-first-vietnamese.html Calculated Risk: Bank Failure #143: First Vietnamese American Bank, Westminster, California There were 140 failures in 2009. This makes 143 and counting in 2010 ... Bair's valkyries ride someday this war's gonna end today is th... calculated risk bank failure vietnamese american first westminster https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/ Calculated Risk Finance and Economics calculated risk https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/search?updated-max=2023-06-06T05:11:00-07:00&max-results=10&reverse-paginate=true&start=10&by-date=false Calculated Risk Finance and Economics calculated risk https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2023/01/new-home-sales-at-616000-annual-rate-in_26.html Calculated Risk: New Home Sales at 616,000 Annual Rate in December; Previous 3 Months Revised Down... Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: New Home Sales at 616,000 Annual Rate in December; Previous 3 Months Revised Down Shar... https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2007/12/moodys-warnings-on-monoline-guarantors.html Calculated Risk: Moody's Warnings on Monoline Guarantors Impacts $1.2 Trillion Debt From Bloomberg: Moody's Warnings on FGIC, MBIA Cast Doubt on $1.2 Trillion Debt Moody's Investors Service's warning that the top credit rat... https://controlsatperu.com/index.php/2026/03/16/amplify-your-potential-master-the-art-of-calculated-risk-reward/ Amplify Your Potential Master the Art of Calculated Risk & Reward with plinko. - Controlsat the art of https://38grandwine.com/shop/product/calculated-risk-napa-valley-selection-cabernet-sauvignon/69fc94a4070cae0001609332?option-id=6949b15dddb011f6af480955739661f504fcfc90139665074a3e82f93beeb0d4 Calculated Risk Napa Valley Selection Cabernet Sauvignon - Grand Wine and Spirits, Brooklyn, NY,... Get Calculated Risk Napa Valley Selection Cabernet Sauvignon from Grand Wine and Spirits, Brooklyn, NY, Brooklyn, NY for $45 napa valley selection https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2020/08/black-knight-number-of-homeowners-in.html Calculated Risk: Black Knight: Number of Homeowners in COVID-19-Related Forbearance Plans Decreased... Note: Both Black Knight and the MBA (Mortgage Bankers Association) are putting out weekly estimates of mortgages in forbearance. This data... https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/05/ice-annual-home-price-growth-nationally.html Calculated Risk: ICE: "Annual home price growth nationally slowed to 1.6% in May" The ICE Home Price Index (HPI) is a repeat sales index. ICE reports the median price change of the repeat sales. From ICE (Intercontinenta... https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2022/08/case-shiller-national-house-price-index.html Calculated Risk: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Decelerated" to 18.0% year-over-year... https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2014/07/bls-no-state-with-unemployment-rate-at.html Calculated Risk: BLS: No State with Unemployment Rate at or above 8% in June, First Time since... From the BLS: Regional and State Employment and Unemployment Summary Regional and state unemployment rates were generally little changed i...